Service Plays Wednesday 06/03/09

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jun 2, 2009

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Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jun 3, 2009

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Cubs Tuesday night.

Today it's the Nationals. The surplus is 785 sirignanos.

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jun 3, 2009

Hondo

June 3, 2009

The Bosawx took advantage of Porcello, that poor fellow, but Hondo bounced back late last night in San Diego with Antonio, that Bastardo, so the beefy bankroll grew slightly to 455 tracewskis.

Tonight, he'll try to earn more scratch by sticking with the Cats -- 10 units on Galarraga.

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jun 3, 2009

Dave Cokin Bonus Play

(929) BALTIMORE ORIOLES
(930) SEATTLE MARINERS
Take "(930) SEATTLE MARINERS"

FREE Personal Service Upset Special! I'm on a dog tonight that I'm convinced will get the win and I'm releasing this selection FREE. Just call 1-888-389-7223 and it's yours!

Jason Vargas is on a roll for the Mariners. Once a highly regarded prospect, Vargas fell off the radar screen thanks to injuries and poor performance, but he's back and on a red hot run right now for Seattle. The Orioles continue to be less than stellar on the road, so I'll look for the Mariners to cash tonight as moderately priced home chalk.

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Jun 3, 2009

Jim Feist Bonus Play

(909) COLORADO ROCKIES
(910) HOUSTON ASTROS
Take "(909) COLORADO ROCKIES"

It's tough to back the struggling (and last place) Astros, even at home, where they have a terrible record (even worse than their road mark). This team is 14th in the NL in runs scored. Starter Brian Moehler is struggling, at 2-03 with a 6.43 ERA. He has always struggled against the Rockies, with a 1-2 record and a 6.85 ERA. Colorado starter Jason Marquis has been impressive, at 7-3 with a 3.93 ERA for a last place team. An excellent spot for the visitors. Play the Rockies.

CaliDreaming · Jun 3, 2009

C Jordan
300 Dodgers Run Line

boomshakalaka · Jun 3, 2009

Maddux confirmed MLB picks

#903 - MLB - 3 units on San Francisco +105
#908 - MLB - 3 units on Atlanta -131
#914 - MLB - 3 units on San Diego -113
#924 - MLB - 3 units on Tampa Bay -142
#927 - MLB - 3 units on Oakland +119
#929 - MLB - 3 units on Baltimore +118

HBUKO1 · Jun 3, 2009

Who Will Cover

NY Mets (-130) at PITTSBURGH By Karl Garrett, Featured Handicapper
The G-Man banged home another comp play winner last night, as Colorado-Houston held UNDER the posted total to make it 11-4 the last 15 days for FREE!

Baseball tonight, and expect the Mets to get on-board in this 4-game series with the Pirates with the win on Wednesday.

New York may be depleted offensively, but I have a feeling that Mike Pelfrey may only need 2 runs tonight to pitch the Metropolitans to the victory.

Pelfrey has allowed just 5 runs over his last 21 innings, but is 0-1 to show for his solid work. For the year, the right-hander is 4-1 with a decent 3.88 ERA. His lone start last year against the Bucs was 7 scoreless frames in a win, and I can see him doing it again tonight.

Russ Ohlendorf looks like he has hit a bump in the road, as he is 0-2 his last 2 trips to the hill, allowing 7 runs over his last 13 innings of work.

The Mets were 5-2 the previous 2 seasons at PNC Park before this surprising Pirates uprising, look for New York to right the ship tonight with the win.

2? NY METS

San Francisco (+105) at WASHINGTON By Bobby Maxwell, Featured Handicapper
Now 4-1 with our last five Bonus Plays from the diamond after the Dodgers got us the winner Tuesday at home over the D'Backs. Today we deliver again as we play the Giants on the road in Washington.

Everything sets up too perfectly not to play the Giants with Randy Johnson (4-4, 5.71 ERA) on the mound this evening. The Big Unit is shooting to become just the 24th pitcher to reach 300 wins and he's doing it against the franchise he got his first win with - the Washington Nationals, formerly known as the Montreal Expos.

It's been more than 20 years since Johnson got that first win for the Expos and he's done it all in his career, including winning World Series titles to no-hitters to All-Star games and now he gets the chance to join a very elite club. And you know he's going to bring that awesome slider and overpower the Nationals tonight.

He's 4-3 with a 2.99 ERA lifetime against Washington and beat them back on May 11 when he allowed four runs in five innings of an 11-7 victory. The Nationals have won just four times in their last 22 games and their pitching staff is last in the majors with a 5.67 ERA.

Jordan Zimmermann (2-2, 6.07 ERA) is on the hill tonight and he faced the Giants back on May 12 allowing five runs in six innings and got hung with the loss.

Today he's just filler for the Randy Johnson show that will get his 300th victory and deliver us a winner.

4? SAN FRANCISCO

Chicago at ATLANTA (-135) By Chris Jordan, Featured Handicapper
I think it’s much smarter to side with Derek Lowe tonight against the Cubbies, than to think Ted Lilly will make a difference at Turner Field in this NL showdown. I know the Chicago southpaw leads the Cubs in wins and quality starts (seven) after beating the Dodgers, 2-1, in his last start, but four of his six wins have come at home. But on the road, it’s been an entirely different story.
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Lilly, who is 2-3 with a suitcase in hand, has a road ERA of 6.14. In his five roadies he’s given up five earned runs three times, to the Astros, Diamondbacks and Padres. And I’d have to say the Braves can hit as good if not better than all three of those teams. Though he’s shown durability by lasting at least six innings in all but two of his stats this year, his ERA climbed from 3.11 to 3.77 at one point in May, and is currently at 3.50.
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Thus, we’re much better off with Lowe, who still ranks among the league leaders in wins, innings pitched and games started, despite a tough outing his last time out. He gave up a season-high 10 hits in seven innings against the Diamondbacks last Thursday in Arizona.
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At home, Lowe has pitched well enough to win each of his five starts, despite his 2-1 mark at Turner. His 3.30 home ERA is respectable, and it should be noted he’s lasted at least 6-2/3 in his last three starts at home, and has a 2.35 ERA there. He’s also struck out 19 versus 12 walks on his own mound.
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At 5-2 in his last seven starts, I’m going to stick with Lowe and look for a lights-out showing. Take a shot with the home chalk, again this is just a comp play. The real money is with my 300? Run Line Punisher winner!!!

1? BRAVES (LIST Lowe and Lilly)
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backdoorcover1 · Jun 3, 2009

WUNDERDOG SIDE FOR THE NBA PLAYOFF GAME EARLIER RELEASE

Game: Orlando at Los Angeles Lakers (9:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Orlando +6 (-110)

The Magic did the unthinkable in beating the Cavaliers, the top team in the league all season and nearly unbeatable at home, in six games. In that series the Magic had many mismatch advantages and to their credit, they took advantage of it. We called a series win for Orlando (and banked at +250 on that) after game one after seeing the mismatches and noting that the Magic have been atop my NBA power rankings for a while now. While they won't have the mismatches in this series, they have the skill set and confidence to stay close with Los Angeles in game one. The Lakers play best when their backs are against the wall. When the pressure is off, they tend to leave their "A" game in the locker room. They lost to Houston at home in game one of the second round and followed that up with an ATS loss to Denver in game one at home (a game they really should have lost straight-up). The Lakers put together back-to-back excellent games vs. Denver to close them out but prior to that, this team had really underperformed in the playoffs. Can they win this game by more than three baskets? I don't think they do. While they don't have the matchup advantages they did vs. Cleveland, this Magic team still won both games vs. the Lakers twice in the regular season so we know they are not, at a minimum, at a big matchup disadvantage. Orlando is now 31-18 ATS this season vs. winning teams. That includes a 25-10 ATS mark vs. the elite teams that outscore opponents by 3+ points per game. They are also 16-4 ATS on the road this season vs. teams that average 103+ points per game. They are 14-6 ATS this season vs. up-tempo teams like the Lakers (those averaging 83+ shots per game) and 18-7 ATS as an underdog. Want evidence of the Lakers’ propensity to under perform when the pressure is off? They are just 7-18 ATS this season at home after having won three of their last four games. Orlando should keep this one close enough to cover. Take Orlando plus the points here.

backdoorcover1 · Jun 3, 2009

Jack Jones

15* on Seattle Mariners -120

ecrazul1977 · Jun 3, 2009

FREE PICKS

(JFYI, I DON’T KNOW IF SOMEONE BET ON THEM OR FADE THEM)

Tony Mathews

Colorado Rockies (-115)

John Fina

Baltimore Orioles (+110)

Brian Marshall

Cleveland Indians (-115)

Ryangene · Jun 3, 2009

Ferringo 6-3
Take #912 St. Louis (-125) over Cincinnati (8 p.m., Wednesday, June 3)
Take #917 Boston (-150) over Detroit (7 p.m., Wednesday, June 3)
Take #928 Chicago White Sox (-130) over Oakland (8 p.m., Wednesday, June 3)
Take #916 L.A. Dodgers (-1.5, +105) over Arizona (10 p.m., Wednesday, June 3)
Take #905 Milwaukee (-105) over Florida (7 p.m., Wednesday, June 3)

Today’s Totals
Take ‘Under’ 9.0 Boston at Detroit (7 p.m., Wednesday, June 3)
Take ‘Under’ 8.5 Cleveland at Minnesota (8 p.m., Wednesday, June 3)
Take ‘Under’ 8.0 Cincinnati at St. Louis (8 p.m., Wednesday, June 3)
Take ‘Under’ 9.0 Kansas City at Tampa Bay (7 p.m., Wednesday, June 3)
Take ‘Under’ 9.5 Milwaukee at Florida (7 p.m., Wednesday, June 3)
Take ‘Under’ 8.0 Arizona at L.A. Dodgers (10 p.m., Wednesday, June 3)
Take ‘Under’ 8.5 Oakland at Chicago White Sox (8 p.m., Wednesday, June 3)

backdoorcover1 · Jun 3, 2009

1 WUNDERDOG MLB PLAY

Game: Boston at Detroit (7:20 PM Eastern)
Pick: Detroit +1.5 runs -120 (runline)

If your gauging this one by reputation, this line makes sense. When you gauge this by what is happening on the field, it does not. The Red Sox are 13-16 on the road while the Tigers have been a top team at home going 15-8. So the only true value can be on Detroit. Josh Beckett is a solid pitcher, but most of that has been earned in the post-season. The fact is Beckett in the last four years pitched great in '07, but in the year prior had a 5.01 ERA and the last two years he has had a 4+ ERA, so he has been more than hittable during the regular season and has allowed more hits than innings pitched this year and has also walked 28. His career numbers vs the Tigers show a 4.15ERA and the Tigers are not getting due respect at home. The Red Sox bats have been very quiet over the last 15 games as they have struggled to produce runs. The Sox have produced three runs or less nine times in their last 15 games, so giving +1.5 runs to the opponent on the road is a pretty high stake. When you factor in the fact they have won four of their 13 road games by a single run, it reduces their road mark to 9-20 against a -1.5 runline. The Tigers are 8-3 in their last 11 at home and would be 9-2 if getting a run and a half. I'll go with the value here and play the Tigers on the runline.

cmoise1 · Jun 3, 2009

David Banks 6/03 <hr style="color: rgb(51, 102, 153);" size="1">   Wednesday June 3, 2009

MLB
NY Yankees
Boston
Tampa Bay
Chicago White Sox
St. Louis

June: 4-6 (40%)

bobygaleana · Jun 3, 2009

Wunderdog

MONMOUTH PARK Race #5 at 2:45 PM Eastern

Top pick: #6 (SCHEING E JET) - She finished 2nd at Belmont last out in her first start off a Scott Volk claim. Stretch runner did so on a track that was favoring speed that day and looks well set-up by her connections this afternoon. Volk is very strong 2nd off a claim (41%).

2nd pick: #3 (Beautiful Rainbows) - Claimed by Patty Farro off a nice looking win here last out. Likes to win ( 11 of 32 on the dirt) and is well spotted off the claim. Contender.

3rd pick: #2 (Talking Flirt) - She's finished behind "Rainbows" in her last pair, but was less than a length behind that rival last out. Has good speed and goes 2nd off a two month break. Exotic's player.

cmoise1 · Jun 3, 2009

RatedPicks MLB 6/3‏

MLB -
Phil Phillies +110
SF Giants +105
Seattle Mariners -130
Giants/Natnls OVER 8.5
Royals/Rays UNDER 9.5

June: 1-5 (17%)

bigbopp32 · Jun 3, 2009

LockStarPicks.com

Bonus Play

Giants Nats Under 8.5

jnc750 · Jun 3, 2009

Anthony Redd

Wednesday's Card
5 Dime Mets run line

5 Dime White Sox run line

5 Dime Dodgers run line

ryangenero · Jun 3, 2009

Picksbypete plays 6/3/09
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Game Totals

Boston under 9.5
LAA under 9
KC over 9
Cleve under 8.5
OAK under 8.5
NYM under 8.5
SF over 8.5

cmoise1 · Jun 3, 2009

Sports Advisors

Cincinnati (27-24) at St. Louis (30-22)

Johnny Cueto (4-3, 2.53 ERA) tries for his first victory in more than three weeks when he guides the Reds against Kyle Lohse (4-3, 3.98) and the Cardinals as these N.L. Central rivals continue a four-game series at Busch Stadium.

St. Louis bounced back from Monday’s 5-3 loss and evened this series with a 5-2 victory Tuesday to end a two-game slide and improve to 9-5 in its last 14 contests. The Redbirds are on surges of 24-10 at Busch Stadium (6-2 last eight), 6-2 against N.L. Central foes, 8-2 against teams with a winning record and 6-1 on Wednesday.

The Reds have lost four of five overall, seven of their last eight on the road (all against right-handed starters) and five of six against winning teams, but they’re 5-1 in their last six Wednesday outings.

Cincinnati still leads the season series 3-2 against the Cardinals, but the host has won nine of the last 12 clashes dating to last summer. Additionally, the Red are still just 16-37 in their last 53 games in St. Louis.

Cueto has been a workhorse for Cincinnati, pitching exactly seven innings in five consecutive starts and seven of his last eight, while going eight innings in the other outing. He’s also surrendered three earned runs or less in seven of those eight starts, but he hasn’t earned a victory since a 10-3 win at Arizona on May 13. Over his past three starts, Cueto is 0-2 with a 3.86 ERA, including a tough-luck 3-2 loss at Milwaukee on Friday in which the right-hander yielded all three runs on three hits and four walks in seven innings.

Cueto is 3-1 with a 1.87 ERA in five road starts, four of which Cincinnati has won. He also beat the Cardinals 6-4 at home on May 8, allowing one run on five hits in seven innings. As a rookie last season, though, Cueto went 0-2 with a 16.20 ERA in two starts versus St. Louis, including a 7-2 loss at Busch Stadium in which he got tagged for all seven runs (six earned) in 1 2/3 innings.

Lohse has been sidelined with a forearm injury since May 23, when he tossed a complete-game, four-hit shutout against the Royals, winning 5-0 at home. That sterling performance came after a three-start slump in which Lohse went 0-3 with a 10.67 ERA. The veteran right-hander is 4-2 with a 3.13 ERA at Busch Stadium this season, but St. Louis is 2-5 in his last seven starts overall (2-2 at home). Also, he’s 1-3 with a 6.26 ERA in five starts under the lights, compared with 3-0 with a 1.67 ERA in four daytime outings.

Lohse got rocked in Cincinnati on May 9, giving up a season-high seven runs on nine hits in six innings of an 8-3 setback. He’s now 1-2 with a 5.84 ERA in four career starts against the Reds.

The under is 19-7-1 in Cueto’s last 27 starts overall, 13-3-1 in his last 17 on the highway and 5-1 in his last six against Central Division foes. However, with Lohse pitching, the over is on streaks of 7-4 overall and 4-1 versus the N.L. Central.

St. Louis carries “under” streaks of 11-3 overall, 8-0 at home, 7-1 versus divisional rivals, 5-0-1 on Wednesday and 8-1 against right-handed starters. Meanwhile, the under is 16-6-1 in the Reds’ last 23 road games, 5-1 in their last six against divisional foes. Finally, the first two games in this series have stayed low, ending a seven-game “over” streak in this rivalry.

ATS ADVANTAGE: ST. LOUIS and UNDER

AMERICAN LEAGUE

Boston (30-22) at Detroit (28-22)

Josh Beckett (5-2, 4.60) looks to continue his resurgence when he leads the Red Sox against the Tigers and Armando Galarraga (3-5, 5.50) in the middle game of a three-game series at Comerica Park.

Boston scored a 5-1 victory in Tuesday’s series opener, the team’s second consecutive win as it improved to 4-4 on a current 10-game road trip. Still, the Red Sox have been average at best lately, going 5-6 in their last 11 contests and 4-7 in their past 11 against right-handed starters. On the bright side, Terry Francona’s squad enjoys positive runs of 15-6 against winning teams, 25-11 when playing on grass and 48-20 against the A.L. Central.

The Tigers are struggling offensively, producing four runs or fewer in nine of their last 12 games. Still, Detroit is on surges of 11-6 overall, 10-4 at Comerica Park, 5-1 against teams with a winning record, 14-6 on grass and 5-2 on Wednesday.

The Red Sox are 6-2 against Detroit since the beginning of last season, taking four of the last five meetings at Comerica Park. Still, the home team 10-6 in the last 16 head-to-head clashes.

Becket has delivered five consecutive quality starts (2.38 ERA), with Boston winning four of those five contests. In Thursday’s 3-1 victory at Minnesota, Beckett went seven innings and gave up the one run (a solo homer) on three hits and four walks while striking out eight. The veteran right-hander is 3-2 with a 4.99 ERA in five road starts, but 3-0 with a 2.70 ERA in his last three as a visitor. The Red Sox are 25-12 in Beckett’s last 37 on the highway and 7-1 in his last eight when facing A.L. Central opponents.

Galarraga ended a string of five consecutive poor starts (0-4, 9.93 ERA) with a decent effort on Thursday at Baltimore, as he gave up three runs on 10 hits over seven innings. However, it wasn’t enough to keep Galarraga from losing his fifth straight game, as Detroit fell 5-1. In five starts at Comerica this season, the right-hander is 2-2 with a 5.55 ERA.

Beckett has faced Detroit just twice in his career, going 1-1 with a 4.15 ERA. Meanwhile, Galarraga got blasted in his only career start against the Red Sox last May, surrendering five runs on seven hits in 5 1/3 innings, but his offense bailed him out in a 10-9 home win.

The under is on an 11-4-2 roll in this rivalry. Additionally, Boston carries “under” streaks of 12-4 overall (6-1 last seven, all on the road, 5-0 when facing right-handed starters, 10-3-1 when playing on grass and 4-0 behind Beckett. Finally, the “under” for the Tigers is on runs of 11-3 overall, 7-0 at home, 10-3 against righty starters, 8-3 versus the A.L. East and 4-1 with Galarraga on the hill.

ATS ADVANTAGE: BOSTON and UNDER